2050 Metropolitan Transportation Plan

The Capital Area and the Durham Chapel-Hill Carrboro MPOs are coordinating to develop the 2050 Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP) for the Triangle region. The MTP is the long-range plan for transportation improvements across the region. It will include roadway, transit, rail, bicycle, pedestrian and other transportation projects for the next 30 years

Where are we in the process?

In September, the CAMPO Executive Board gave guidance on what to include in a Preferred Scenario so that staff could begin a fiscal analysis and develop a first draft of the 2050 MTP. Leading up to that, CAMPO staff completed the development and modeling associated with the Deficiencies and Needs of our anticipated transportation network, as well as three (3) transportation system alternative future scenarios for the 2050 MTP. With the MPO’s Goals and Objectives as a guide, the deficiency analysis served as a baseline to create the three alternative scenarios to meet anticipated future travel demand.

Preferred Scenario

Preferred Scenario - Interactive Map

Preferred Scenario - Bike/Ped Corridors Map

Preferred Scenario - Transit Corridors Map

Preferred Scenario - Roadway Projects Map

Preferred Scenario - Roadway Projects List

This scenario (based on the All Together scenario) increases the intensity and mix of land uses at major employment hubs and travel corridors, and works to link minority, low-income, and zero-car households to jobs. It increases biking and walking facilities and provides transit services in major commuting corridors and major activity centers. It assumes several future transportation funding changes on the state and local level, which means both housing affordability and transportation funding actions by a range of partners would be necessary. It also assumes that a larger proportion of residential and employment development occurs in the corridors served by bus, Bus Rapid Transit (BRT), Commuter Rail (CRT), and bicycle and pedestrian facilities.  This scenario includes the highest density with mixed use land development, which increases transit usage to reduce Vehicle Miles Traveled. It also has the highest funding level among the alternative scenarios that were compared. See the interactive map to view the latest draft with layers for the roadway, transit, and bicycle/pedestrian investments.

Highlights - Preferred Scenario:

Transit

    • CRT from Mebane to Selma
    • CRT from Apex to Franklinton
    • BRT Infrastructure and Service in Capital, New Bern, Wilmington, and Western/Chatham/NC 54 corridors
    • BRT Infrastructure and service in Harrison/Kildaire Farm Road corridor
    • BRT Infrastructure and service to Midtown
    • Increased investment in the frequent bus network

Roadways

  • Largely focused on higher order roadways (State/Federal funds)
  • Completion of Outer Loop (NC 540)
  • Widening/Improving I-40, I-440, US 401, US 1, US 64, US 70, NC 42, NC 50, NC 54, NC 55, NC 98
  • Shift more roadway funding to maintenance
  • High level of complete street investments: bus shelters, stop access, and bicycle facilities
  • Add connector roads to help create more grid networks and increase bike and pedestrian access
  • Higher level of secondary roadway investments in 2030s-2040s

Bicycle & Pedestrian

The 2050 MTP does not specifically list bicycle and pedestrian projects. Local municipalities and counties have identified and prioritized these projects, and have coordinated their interaction at the jurisdiction boundary areas. As a result, the 2050 MTP defers to those local government plans. The bicycle/pedestrian elements map for the Preferred Scenario illustrates major bicycle and pedestrian facilities that have significance toward regional mobility.

Preferred Scenario - Interactive Map 

Fiscal Constraint

Federal regulations require the 2050 MTP to have a financial plan. This requirement means that the cost of the roadway, transit and other transportation facilities and services must be covered by state, federal, local, private and other transportation revenues that can be reasonably expected to be available. Once final, the MTP's Financial Plan will provide a comparison of expected revenues and costs from 2020 through 2050 – the 30-year period of this plan.

The 2050 MTP divides projects into three time periods:

  • Near-term: through 2030;
  • Mid-term: 2031 to 2040; and
  • Long-term: 2041 to 2050.

These periods are used not only as a matter of good planning practice that more evenly matches and distributes the total costs and revenues over the 30-year planning period, but also so we can analyze the impacts of our investments against air quality benchmarks. The current transportation funding programs will not produce enough revenue to finance the multimodal transportation needs in the Triangle. Therefore, the 2050 MTP will be based on the assumption of certain additional/new revenue sources to close this funding gap. There must be a reasonable expectation to realize these new revenue sources, such as basing it on the many local and statewide commissions that have studied transportation financing and recommended new funding sources. It is important to note the following background information on the Additional/New Revenue Sources proposed in the 2050 MTP:

  • Many of these new revenue options would require legislation from the North Carolina General Assembly and/or the U.S. Congress. The MPOs are not empowered to invoke these tax and revenue program changes.
  • The 2045 MTP envisions a level of effort to increase revenue for roadways, transit, and bicycle/pedestrian investments but the exact type and mechanism for increasing these revenues, e.g., sales  tax, property tax, VMT fees, is not a certainty.

2050 MTP Process Overview

Learn more about the entire 2050 development process, including the foundational work that took place throughout 2020 and 2021 (setting Goals & Objectives, developing Socio-Economic Guide totals, Analyzing Alternative Future Scenarios).